Adaptive Analysis

John Lee Quigley
Musings on Markets, Macro, & Bitcoin
Created 09 Feb 2019
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  • 🌊 The Bitcoin Tide is Turning
    31 Jul 2021 • 4 min read
    Quick take; Bitcoin market conditions are changing as whales purchase below $30k and a huge short squeeze follows Positive news is beginning to have a greater impact on upside price movements, indicat...
  • Bitcoin Bull Versus Bear Case
    14 Jul 2021 • 6 min read
    Quick take; Bitcoin medium-term downtrend takes a hiatus as strong liquidity lies at both ends of current range Arguments can be made for both a bullish case and bearish case in Bitcoin On-chain analy...
  • Still Bearish…
    24 Jun 2021 • 5 min read
    Disclaimer: Nothing in this piece is financial advice. It is strictly educational information. Take responsibility for your own financial decisions. We work with top-5 derivatives exchange ByBit as af...
  • Bitcoin Market Cycle Current Stage
    10 Jun 2021 • 3 min read
    Quick take; Despite bullish developments, the bearish medium-term market dynamics persist Investors appear to be in a state of denial with widespread proclamations of HODL Anticipating further downsid...
  • Fuel for Bitcoin Price Rises
    13 Aug 2020 • 6 min read
    Disclaimer: I have long exposure to Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin’s rise above $10.5k, I have also been taking leveraged long positions in the BTC derivatives market. Nothing in this newsletter is financial ...
  • Bitcoin & Inflation
    17 Apr 2020 • 7 min read
    Update: As this crisis progresses, my views on this subject have changed. Strong arguments can be made that this crisis will extremely deflationary in nature for the US economy. Given that the USD is ...
  • March 2020 BTC Analysis - Coronavirus Catalyzes Global Economic Crisis
    24 Mar 2020 • 7 min read
    Disclaimer: The information presented does not represent financial or investment advice. You are responsible for your own financial decisions. Read the full disclaimer here. Analysts have been forecas...
  • Foundational Market Analysis Concepts
    14 Mar 2020 • 9 min read
    This was originally published on the Adaptive Analysis website. Disclaimer: The information presented does not represent financial or investment advice. You are responsible for your own financial deci...
  • How will Bitcoin Behave if the Global Economy Erupts?
    19 Sep 2019 • 21 min read
    You can also read this blog post on the Adaptive Analysis website. Economic conditions become increasingly turbulent after a decade of stimulative monetary policy & negative interest rate policies. A ...
  • The Nature of Cryptocurrency Markets
    08 Jul 2019 • 7 min read
    You can also read this blog post on the Adaptive Analysis website. Quick take; Emerging markets are more speculative and trend-driven in nature given the absence of robust frameworks to value them As ...
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