Applied Complexity Science

Applied Complexity Science
The complexity perspective
Created 19 Oct 2020
  • The Modern and The Real
    19 Nov 2021 • < 1 min read • 10 4
    Both of our daughters were born at home, in the bedroom right next to my office where I’m writing this now. This was something that was unfathomable to me just a couple of years ago. But the combinati...
  • We Need Adaptive Disconnectivity for Pandemics
    15 Nov 2021 • 4 min read • 16 1
    Pandemic remains one of our main sources of systemic and existential risk. The COVID pandemic is ironically serving as a distraction from developing the capabilities necessary to manage global pandemi...
  • People Are The Tails
    05 Nov 2021 • 1 min read • 16 0
    It was Wendell Berry who crystallized this point for me: Not only do human beings have the potential to harm nature less than we currently do, but with a proper relationship to the land, we can help t...
  • Anticipation Without Prediction
    04 Nov 2021 • 1 min read • 8 5
    This week and next the 16th edition of the Real World Risk Institute is being held (since the COVID event, on Zoom. Everyone of course misses gathering in person but we’ve managed to preserve the spir...
  • When the Unseen Obscures the Seen
    29 Oct 2021 • 3 min read • 10 1
    My friend Chrisman Frank yesterday forwarded me this snippet from Naval about what he sees as a wrongheaded approach to pursuing “artificial general intelligence” (AGI). The wrong idea, Naval says, is...
  • The Problem With Hanlon's Razor
    26 Oct 2021 • < 1 min read • 10 0
    Hanlon’s Razor is a rule of thumb that reads: “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity”. As a general kind of statement, this seems sound enough. A lot of negative ev...
  • Avoiding the Irreversible
    20 Oct 2021 • 1 min read • 19 1
    Later this evening I will have the opportunity to talk with permaculture legend Ben Falk via the “Doomer Optimism Podcast” where I will be a guest co-host. Ben’s book The Resilient Farm and Homestead ...
  • Non-survival of the Not-fit-enoughs
    18 Oct 2021 • 3 min read • 16 0
    Not everything that happens happen for a reason, but everything that survives survive for a reason. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Skin In the Game, 2018) Nassim Taleb’s point here is extremely important: J...
  • Closeness Without Community
    15 Oct 2021 • 5 min read • 16 0
    One of the most important pieces of research for understanding the world we are dealing with today was published in 1998 by Duncan Watts and Steven Strogatz. Collective Dynamics of ‘Small-world’ Netwo...
  • Irreducibility: Weak and Strong
    07 Oct 2021 • 4 min read • 18 0
    Irreducibility is arguably the main theme of complexity science. Like so many of the terms invoked in this context, it is cast in the negative: something is irreducible if it can not be reduced.1 2 So...
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