The Cogent Provocateur

RonK, Seattle
Better ideas and truer facts
Created 04 May 2021
  • Vax Lotteries Disappoint
    17 Jun 2021 • 3 min read
    Beginning with Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine’s May 12 announcement, fourteen states, two U.S. territories and a growing number of metropolitan governments have adopted lotteries as incentives to COVID-19 vacc...
  • Jackpots and Pitfalls
    04 Jun 2021 • 3 min read
    Beginning with Gov. DeWine’s 5/12/2021 announcement of Ohio’s Vax-a-Million program1, the vaccination incentive lottery concept has gone viral. Ten states2 have their own versions, with jackpots rangi...
  • VIP* Round-Up
    29 May 2021 • 8 min read
    After a two week lull in the action (which may have been induced by lack of visible results), Michigan announced a program bringing the count of state sponsors to seventeen. A couple others are faking...
  • A COVID Curiosity
    26 May 2021 • 1 min read
    A fact-checker’s eye is drawn instinctively to puzzle pieces that don’t seem to fit. We also go on alert where discourse is intensely polarized, and where discussants have leapt to intense positional ...
  • Jackpots for Vacc Shots - Part III
    21 May 2021 • 7 min read
    It’s a new day, with new data. Ohio’s Vax-A-Million lottery is up and running. We’re not just hand-waving anymore. We have one concrete example analyze, attack, defend and revise. Let’s not get wowed ...
  • Notable Posts
    21 May 2021 • < 1 min read
    Posts in The Cogent Provocateur’s current incarnation: Jackpots for Vacc Shots -Part I, Part II, Part III Ohio Takes a Shot in the Dark [updated 6/3/21] VIP Round-Up (Vaccine Incentive Programs) [upda...
  • Jackpots for Vacc Shots - Part II
    17 May 2021 • 4 min read
    Part I proposed an oddly-constructed lottery with potentially remarkable properties as a COVID-19 vaccination incentive.1 Part II examines hold-outs and laggards, and the reasons some might respond to...
  • Ohio Takes a Shot in the Dark
    13 May 2021 • 10 min read
    [Updates 6/3] Ohio had a good 2nd week — especially if you don’t look at the numbers. The $1M winner was a 40-year-old Amazon driver with bills to pay, who hustled for his shot in response to the lott...
  • Cogent Provocateur's Prehistory
    12 May 2021 • 1 min read
    The original Cogent Provocateur ran from 3/4/2002 to 4/23/2003 on the blogspot platform. At the time I was one of about 25 “Star Posters” of’s multidimensionally diverse reader forum, The Fr...
  • Jackpots for Vacc Shots - Part I
    10 May 2021 • 5 min read
    Here we propose a novel incentive device for COVID-19 vaccination — a very peculiar lottery. A lottery with no tickets, no registration database, no need for government funding, enabling legislation o...
  • View More on Substack »