Gray Zone Warlord

Forward Observer
Notes on the future of Low Intensity Conflict, Irregular Warfare, and the Gray Zone
Created 09 Aug 2021
  • A new way to think about "wealth"
    12 Nov 2021 • 1 min read • 2 4
    Ray Dalio, who runs one of the world's largest hedge funds, yesterday sent out an email re-framing what's going to happen to wealth in this country. Due to the inflation we've seen (and possibly somet...
  • Here's What Another Civil War Looks Like
    28 Oct 2021 • 4 min read • 0 1
    ADMIN NOTE: For this week’s post, I’m reprising an article from May 2019. It’s a good primer on Low Intensity Conflict. A “civil war” may well remain below the threshold of conventional confict, which...
  • The Coming American Troubles
    11 Oct 2021 • 3 min read • 2 0
    This weekend I started researching the Irish Troubles for a section of my upcoming book on Low Intensity Conflict/Civil War 2. It’s important to keep an open mind and consider all possibilities, weigh...
  • Are we already in a civil war?
    07 Oct 2021 • 2 min read • 1 0
    So many people are asking if we’re already in a civil war (or trying to provide an answer), so let’s look at this question and figure it out. Back in 2018, I discussed why I dislike using the term “ci...
  • Why you should be a socialist
    04 Oct 2021 • 5 min read • 2 2
    No, I don’t think you should be a socialist. But over the weekend, I did finish Nathan J. Robinson’s Why You Should Be a Socialist, a book that attempts to sway moderates and conservatives to the Left...
  • Climate action groups to expand violence and sabotage?
    28 Sep 2021 • 4 min read • 2 0
    ADMIN NOTE: This post is from today’s InFocus over at Forward Observer. We track political, social, and economic risk, providing early warning of instability and disruption. You can find us and our wo...
  • A military at the end of empire
    31 Aug 2021 • 6 min read • 3 0
    This was my InFocus briefing over at Forward Observer/Early Warning. The first half is a recap since Thursday, much of which the Twittersphere has probably already seen. It’s followed by some truly en...
  • Low Intensity Conflict Reference Library
    09 Aug 2021 • < 1 min read • 1 0
    Here’s a reference library of previous writing and videos: 2021 Intra-Elite Conflict Societal Collapse: What history says about the future of American society Historical Cycles: Mathematical models an...
  • View More on Substack »